Gore won the popular vote in 2000, but the electoral college process subverted the popular decision and irrevocably changed our country’s history. Essentially this country is set up to elect Republicans, and only a supremely popular Democrat can win. This year, though, we’ll see if a Republican can actually be unpopular enough to overcome the party’s advantage.
What advantage? Well — each state has a specific number of electors based on population but (a) at least one and (b) they also each have two more electors. Three electors doesn’t seem like it should make a big difference, but calculate the number of people represented by each elector in the most and least populous states and the impact is clear. One elector from California represents 713,000 people. One elector from Wyoming represents 195,000. And, yeah, Texas may be conservative and Vermont may be liberal … but on the whole, Republicans have an electoral advantage.
State | Electors | Population | # People / Elector |
Wyoming | 3 | 586,000 | 195,333 |
Vermont | 3 | 626,000 | 208,667 |
Alaska | 3 | 663,000 | 221,000 |
North Dakota | 3 | 758,000 | 252,667 |
South Dakota | 3 | 865,000 | 288,333 |
Delaware | 3 | 946,000 | 315,333 |
Montana | 3 | 1,042,000 | 347,333 |
Illinois | 20 | 12,801,000 | 640,050 |
Pennsylvania | 20 | 12,802,000 | 640,100 |
New York | 29 | 19,795,000 | 682,586 |
Florida | 29 | 20,612,000 | 710,759 |
Texas | 38 | 27,862,000 | 733,211 |
California | 55 | 39,250,000 | 713,636 |